<\/h2>\nThe CLARITY Act is not just a bill on market structure; it could also shape how digital assets are classified between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).<\/span><\/p>\nFor XRP, this is particularly important. After years of being entangled in legal disputes with the SEC, XRP has recently seen signals of being viewed as a \u201c<\/span>digital commodity<\/b>\u201d in coordination frameworks between the two regulatory agencies in March 2026.<\/span><\/p>\nIf the CLARITY Act is passed, it could formalize this classification, thereby removing much of the \u201cregulatory overhang\u201d\u2014the factor that has stifled participation from major financial institutions in XRP.<\/span><\/p>\nIn this context, XRP is considered one of the most sensitive assets to the bill\u2019s outcome, as its direction is directly tied to how the U.S. defines the boundaries between securities and commodities in the crypto market.<\/span><\/p>\nXRP Price Outlook Hinges on a Binary Outcome<\/b><\/h2>\nXRP\u2019s short-term price outlook is heavily dependent on the results of the CLARITY Act.<\/span><\/p>\nXRP price chart (1H). Source: TradingView<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
Bull case: Regulatory clarity unlocks capital<\/b><\/h3>\nIf the bill passes the Senate, the market may view this as a clear confirmation of XRP\u2019s legal status in the U.S.<\/span><\/p>\nIn this scenario, institutional capital inflows could increase significantly, especially if expectations for an ETF or XRP-related financial products are bolstered. Some market estimates suggest that billions of dollars in cash flow could be \u201cunlocked\u201d once regulatory barriers are removed.<\/span><\/p>\nClarity Act signed into law in 2026. Source: Polymarket<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
The price of XRP could then recover to the <\/span>$1.60\u2013$1.80<\/b> range in the short term, based on the re-pricing of the asset according to lower risk levels. Data from the prediction platform Polymarket currently shows the probability of the bill passing in 2026 hovering around <\/span>56-70%<\/b>, reflecting relatively positive market expectations.<\/span><\/p>\nBear case: Delays extend uncertainty<\/b><\/h3>\nConversely, if the CLARITY Act continues to be <\/span>delayed or fails <\/b>to pass the Banking Committee in April, a negative scenario could unfold.<\/span><\/p>\nThe lack of legal clarity will continue to keep large institutions on the sidelines, while weakening market sentiment could pull the XRP price down to the $1.20 range or lower, potentially even toward <\/span>$0.80<\/b> if selling pressure intensifies.<\/span><\/p>\nTherefore, if the bill is not pushed forward before the summer, the likelihood of it being delayed until the next legislative cycle is very high due to the influence of the midterm elections.<\/span><\/p>\nWhat Comes Next for XRP<\/b><\/h2>\nIn the coming weeks, market attention is focused on the progress of the CLARITY Act in the U.S. Senate, particularly the markup session expected to take place after April 13.<\/span><\/p>\n
![\"CLARITY](\"https:\/\/nftevening.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Screenshot-2026-04-10-at-08.38.14.png\")
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